Greek political scene resembles quicksand

Even the election date, which had been "locked" for May, seems to be under postponment, as everyone now talks about a possible exhaustion of the government's 4 year tenure, as Alexis Tsipras needs time to quell reactions. Apart from the time, it will also use any financial margin to table bills of a pro-forma nature - such as raising the minimum wage - while with the Constitutional Revision and the draft law on Church-State Relations it will try to change the agenda .

The question remains, how stable can a government be based on the votes of 145 SYRIZA deputies, plus the 6 "willing" MPs coming from completely different political spaces? And the ambiguity is reinforced by the fact that the reactions on the streets do not seem to be dying down, as shown by yesterday's incidents in Thessaloniki were the object was the President of the Republic.

Strong reactions to the Prespa Agreement also cause tectonic changes in the electoral chart. The estimate is that SYRIZA is experiencing a difficult and non-reversible deflation mainly in northern Greece, while nobody at this time is able to predict how much reaction to the Agreement can strengthen extreme forces, especially Golden Dawn.

Prespa swallows ANEL and River

However, the political make-up within the House has already been overturned. ANEL is probably already a thing of the past, while during the week Panos Kammenos is expected to be left without a parliamentary group, since Thanasis Papachristopoulos has declared his determination to resign. Kammenos' reaction is expected to be at least "noisy". Stavros Theodorakis has been leftwith  only 2 loyal MPs, and lost his status as a political leader in Parliament, remaining as an independent MP, and his party cadres are pushing for radical decisions.

Most of them are pushing for a programmatic agreement and co-operation with ND - as suggested by party spokesman Dimitris Tsiodras at the party's last Political Council meeting, while others insist on an autonomous course and others still, are "fliringt" with the idea of ​​convergence with SYRIZA.

KINAL in quagmire

KINAL is also in a quagmire, as it is proceeding to a Conference on the unification of the center-left space. The unpredictable factor here is goesby the name of George Papandreou, who has not yet made clear if he wants and will accept the dissolution of the party he has founded, KIDISO, a dissolution which Fofi Gennimata considers a must. While Alexis Tsipras' moves to converge SYRIZA with center-left politicians intensifies ambiguity and centrifugal forces.

Overturns on the political scene may also arise from the activity of Panos Kammenos. The President of ANEL does not seem to be able to forgive Alexis Tsipras for "plundring" his deputies, and promises revelations. His first shots, such as the revelation that the Prime Minister's adviser is pushing for persecution of the political opponents of SYRIZA, are promising thrillers.

But also the judicial developments themselves reinforce the feeling of a political landscape that is being reshaped. The latest information wants corruption prosecutors going after "specific politicians", but no evidence has been found to prove bribery, since neither money nor suspicious accounts have been found. Persecutions, if practiced, will cause enormous tension and polarization that will make even more liquid the political backdrop. Such actions are, so far, based only on testimonies of doubtful credibility and have been the cause for three different heads of corruption investigations submitting their resignation with implied pressures.

To all these developments the factor Zoran Zaev should be added, as he can also ignite domestic political developments. It is clear that if Skopje's Prime Minister continues to use the name Macedonia for his country instead of North Macedonia, as agreed, as he did with his recent statements, he will cause precipitous reactions in Athens, he will put Mr. Tsiprs in a precarious position and will lead Kyriakos Mitsotakis to request a revision of the Agreement. Such a review will cause international reactions with unknown effects.