New Democracy extends lead amid Middle East war anxiety

A new survey conducted by Pulse for Skai TV reveals that Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis’s center-right party has gained 1.5 percentage points over the last month, rising to 25.5% in vote intention. 

 This maintains a commanding lead over the socialist PASOK, which sits at 11%. The nationalist Plefsi Eleftherias followed at 8%, while the Communist Party (KKE) and SYRIZA trailed at 6.5% and 5%, respectively.

The poll highlights a nation on edge, with 79% of respondents expressing deep concern over regional instability following recent military escalations involving Iran and Israel. 

Nearly half of those surveyed described their anxiety as "very high," with 39% citing the conflict’s impact on the Greek economy—specifically rising energy costs—as their chief worry.

Mr. Mitsotakis has leaned into a message of regional stability, a strategy that appears to be resonating. 

The poll shows 72% of Greeks approve of the government’s recent diplomatic and military support for Cyprus. Overall, 47% of participants view Greece’s international actions positively, a figure that jumps to 94% among New Democracy’s core supporters.

The survey also gauged interest in potential political shifts. 

Support for a hypothetical new party led by former Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras rose to 22%, up from 19% in February. 

Conversely, a potential movement led by activist Maria Karystianou saw a sharp decline of five percentage points.

With 18% of the electorate still undecided—the so-called "grey zone"—the ruling party’s estimated vote share now reaches 31.5% when those votes are factored in. 

As the Mediterranean enters an increasingly volatile period, the "stability card" remains Mr. Mitsotakis’s most effective tool in consolidating his base.